2012年12月10日星期一
"Market for technology" dead end
Billion dollar level triggered by the aircraft carrier market, according to the traditional development mode is the "market for technology."
Economist Lee before, China in the past 30 years, has been relying on the introduction of technology, allowing the market to develop the economy can change in exchange for "rest," If you want to change also change does not come.
Specifically, in the traditional industries, the West also holds a small number of technology patents, while not large, but they are to maintain high profit housekeeping skills, can not let China take. In addition to the military, aerospace, relationship to the national security of the strategic industries and high-tech, more impossible to "change" to the Chinese.
Engine, for example, aircraft engine in high-temperature, high-pressure, high-speed, high-load, high technical difficulty of the test is the most state-of-the-art processing capacity of the materials industry and the manufacturing process of a country. Reuters has commented that China has come up with a nuclear missile, in turn astronauts sent into space, but China has so far not been able to create a reliable, high-performance aircraft engines.
F -15 already installed domestic engine is generic AL31 (Russian aircraft engine model), but all aspects of performance is very satisfactory, and finally changed back to the AL31 come on the ship. "Recently, in the hit show" Xiao said, "Super Army fans Gao Xiaosong disclosed.
In Gao Xiaosong seems, the engine is the real core of the fighter. An engine needs long-term research and development and capital investment, for Chinese enterprises to spend money, then decrypt, then imitation is undoubtedly a shortcut, but this technique relies. The event of war, the others do not sell your engine, you stuck your neck. Now China too strong imitation ability, Russia would prefer to sell the most advanced fighters to India, do not want to sell to China.
Zhuhai Air Show in November this year, the AVIC display a domestic engine model, this engine will be used in the China-made large aircraft. However, the military channel analysis of the World Wide Web, even if the most advanced engine in China, and the United States at least a 30-year gap.
As one of the manufacturers of the world's three major aviation engine, Rolls-Royce, it is the engine of the A380 production maximum internal temperature reaches half of the surface of the sun, and the rotational speed of the turbine blades reached 2000 km / h, which makes our engine manufacturers can offer.
"Once the formation of technological dependence, also in the market, more and more passive if there is no independent research and development capacity, the amount of technology will always be the low-end goods, can only follow the others ran." Bai Yimin said.
A high-speed railway engineers to experience this kind of "passive". Routine inspection before the start of a motor car, he found that the control system fails, only the lights do not go seconds. Report to the headquarters, he received instructions to "standby", the meaning of this sentence, "nothing to do".
Later, the controller of the fault system provider Siemens unloaded off their own back to repair domestic, "we do not even look at the opportunities are not.
Is still very difficult to engage in scientific research and the accumulation of talent, should seize the opportunity if not solid
Shen Jiru, a researcher of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Institute of World Economics and Politics in the CCTV program revealed that four Chinese aircraft carrier arresting cable, originally purchased from Russia, but was denied.
The carrier block cable in the world, only the United States and Russia capable of producing. Block cable requires a very strong, because a small fighter jet 20 tons 40 tons of large, more than 200 kilometers per hour speed landing this impact in a very short distance fighter hooked the cable to be very fine and toughness, making rough on the hook to continue.
"Because no one is willing to sell to us, we will come up." Said Shen Jiru.
This detail is magnified, as a typical case of the aircraft carrier "Forced" high-end manufacturing upgrade.
"But, if Chinese enterprises can not be solid to engage in scientific research accumulated talent, we must seize the opportunity of this aircraft carrier 'Forced' is still very difficult." Bai Yimin is not optimistic.
Had worked for 12 years in Japan, Mitsui consortium's enterprise Bai Yimin, has studied in depth the expansion path of the Mitsui consortium.
Mitsui consortium started from a clothing store, after the Meiji Restoration, the government is unable to operate military enterprises. Once these military enterprises into the consortium has broad market, the rapid development, into civilian industry; sustained progress in military technology is also adequate financial security. To the end of the Pacific War, Japan has built 29 aircraft carriers.
After World War II, Japan's military development is suppressed, military production to the people of the Tibetan army - fighting vehicles, warplanes, warships and even missile basic available by private enterprises to rapidly changing products, which also makes the steel, automobile and electronics industries in Japan, from the outside to the core components to form an independent industrial system. "Bai Yimin said.
Toshiba Mitsui consortium not only in home appliances, laptops, and other fields have a strong competitive Toshiba one of the main supplier of Japan's Defense Agency, "It's semiconductor production, can be used in missiles."
Changhong is also a former military enterprises, it's color TV production line is provided by Panasonic. "Since then, Changhong did not leave Japan every few days to Japan to run, why? Going to buy other people's parts." Bai Yimin said.
Global enterprises to invest in R & D rankings in 2011, to 7.754 billion euros, Toyota top the list, two U.S. Microsoft, three German Volkswagen, South Korea's Samsung in Section 5. The highest ranked Chinese companies Huawei, in the first 41. Countries and regions, this list of the top 100 companies, the U.S. 34, EU 29, Japan 25.
"In these areas, the Chinese enterprises need to learn from Japan, learning Japanese companies a sense of crisis, the long-term R & D investment." Bai Yimin said.
Perhaps, Cixi, Ningbo Dacheng Advanced Material Co. R & D and production, with independent intellectual property rights, "ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene fiber" can give us some insights.
This transgenic material image of Army fans known as "spider silk", mainly used in bullet-proof vests.
"In 2003, during the war in Iraq, more than 30 British and more than 100 militants in Iraq to meet the other use of the AK-47 automatic rifles. 3 wearing a culmination of body armor, the British army was shot, a live one 7 rounds (person) is very good; There is also one of the 12 rounds of ammunition, body armor good, but was shot in the head, died in the 7 rounds soldiers retired after the founder of a website, says Chinese Dacheng bulletproof vest saved his life. "
Dacheng company manager Chen Cheng Si network spread in this story relish, "This is all of a sudden the market opened, and now Americans to buy German, French also bought in 2004, the company sold 40,000 sets of body armor, and this year the sales orders have 150,000 sets UK alone there are more than 20,000 units, total sales of over 200 million yuan. "
But few people know that, "spider silk" R & D from the start to the open market, Chen Cheng Si before and after spending eight years. Long-term R & D process, so do not see the prospects of a huge loss of key personnel, Dacheng company private enterprise but also to the brink of bankruptcy, but Chen Cheng Si insistence of his shoulder length parallel with the United States, the Netherlands, Japan, Mitsui products .
It's like Li Cai Yuan said China must hardships, and strive to achieve a breakthrough in the emerging strategic industries, thus a place in the upcoming wave of new technological revolution, in order to obtain a real competitive advantage ".
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