2012年12月5日星期三

The CASS report recommends annual tax cut of scale should reach at least 600 billion

House in 2030 some so cheap! How to sell the experts recommended the introduction of policies to guide homeowners into the consumer sale of real estate, in advance diluted foam prices "blew out" to avoid aging comes.
Yesterday, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Economics Ministry, the number of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and Technology, Institute of Economics, Social Sciences Documentation Publishing House jointly issued the "2013 Analysis and Forecast of China's economic situation. Blue Book suggestions of real estate regulation and control, structural tax cuts and other issues. Blue Book suggested that efforts should increase the supply of land for housing, optimize the structure of land supply, increase investment in the ordinary commodity housing and construction efforts to avoid an adverse impact on the stability of economic growth. In addition, the scale of China's annual tax cuts should reach at least 600 billion yuan.
□ About Real Estate
Long-term mechanism should accelerate the establishment of market regulation
Blue Book
The future for a period of time, should increase investment and ordinary commodity housing construction efforts, increase the ordinary commodity housing and all kinds of affordable housing land supply efforts to accelerate the long-term mechanism to improve the real estate market regulation.
>> Expert explained
Should be introduced to encourage the sale of real estate policy
CASS Vice President of China, Li Yang and former vice president Chen Jiagui, "The purchase order "does curb the rapid rise in house prices, but also result in significantly decreased the growth rate of real estate development and investment, such as investment continued to fall, is bound to adversely affect the stability of economic growth.
Deputy director of the Institute of Foreign Trade, Ministry of Commerce Department assurances that, as soon as possible to encourage the sale of real estate, to guide homeowners of their income into the consumer policy. Assurances, currently close to 10% of elderly people over the age of 65, in 2015, 2020, 2030 will accelerate the aging of three key years. And other aging naturally reach their peak, a large number of people to sell real estate prices "blew out" when may fall into. If not ahead of diluted foam, when the national economy, fear of big shrink.
□ on economic growth
GDP growth this year will be higher than 7.5%
Blue Book
In 2012, the annual GDP growth rate is expected to be higher than 7.5%. 2013 years will maintain rapid growth, export growth may rebound.
>> Expert explained
Faster the economy will grow next year
Yuan up to the opinion of the Director, the General Affairs Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, the fundamentals of China's economic development in 2013 is more stable, maintain rapid economic development has a lot of favorable conditions for the huge potential of urbanization, industrial restructuring, trade upgrade prospects, the income of urban and rural residents continue to improve and so will provide a strong impetus to the continued growth of domestic demand, domestic demand, supporting role in the economic growth will be further enhanced, and 2013, China's economic growth is expected to range in a reasonable and rapid growth.
□ about tax cuts
Scale of annual tax cuts should be at least 600 billion
Blue Book
Financial the overcharges income scale may be formed in 2012, and part of the 2012 budget deficit for supporting a structural tax cuts, at least to reach the scale of annual tax cuts of 600 billion yuan.
>> Expert explained
Structural considerable room for tax cuts
Director of the Institute of Finance and Trade Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences GaoPeiYong that, since 2012, the government around the measures introduced by the structural tax cuts, there is considerable space.
GaoPeiYong said structural tax cuts, the key to the implementation of the budget deficit constraints. Our country's budget deficit of 1.07 trillion in 2012, even if only half is used to support structural tax cuts, tax cuts minimum scale of 535 billion yuan. In addition, financial the overcharges income scale may be formed in 2012, at least 300 billion yuan, in view of the surplus revenue in the mobile financial nature, therefore estimates that at least 600 billion yuan of tax cuts scale is not only necessary, have the ability to be implemented, even it can go beyond that.
□ about the stock market
The overall stock market into the valuation of the bottom of the
Blue Book
In 2012, China's A-share market as a whole showed trend of Xianyanghouyi, the market as a whole has been entering the bottom of the valuation history area.
>> Expert explained
The next year the stock market is expected ascribed to 2500 points
Economic Research Center of Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, the number of Zhuping Fang, 2013, in the context of the slow recovery of the world economy and China's economic slowdown, the domestic economy will experience long-term industrial structure adjustment and optimization of the financial system, on behalf of the economy as a whole The status of the A-share market is difficult now sustained rally will feature presents fluctuated. However, the central judgment Shanghai Composite run the the 2000-2500 point, there are still structural investment opportunities.

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