House in 2030 some so cheap! How to sell the
experts recommended the introduction of policies to guide homeowners
into the consumer sale of real estate, in advance diluted foam prices
"blew out" to avoid aging comes.
Yesterday, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,
Economics Ministry, the number of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and
Technology, Institute of Economics, Social Sciences Documentation
Publishing House jointly issued the "2013 Analysis and Forecast of
China's economic situation. Blue Book suggestions of real estate regulation and control, structural tax cuts and other issues. Blue
Book suggested that efforts should increase the supply of land for
housing, optimize the structure of land supply, increase investment in
the ordinary commodity housing and construction efforts to avoid an
adverse impact on the stability of economic growth. In addition, the scale of China's annual tax cuts should reach at least 600 billion yuan.
□ About Real Estate
Long-term mechanism should accelerate the establishment of market regulation
Blue Book
The future for a period of time, should increase
investment and ordinary commodity housing construction efforts, increase
the ordinary commodity housing and all kinds of affordable housing land
supply efforts to accelerate the long-term mechanism to improve the
real estate market regulation.
>> Expert explained
Should be introduced to encourage the sale of real estate policy
CASS Vice President of China, Li Yang and former vice president Chen Jiagui, "The purchase
order "does curb the rapid rise in house prices, but also result in
significantly decreased the growth rate of real estate development and
investment, such as investment continued to fall, is bound to adversely
affect the stability of economic growth.
Deputy director of the Institute of Foreign Trade,
Ministry of Commerce Department assurances that, as soon as possible to
encourage the sale of real estate, to guide homeowners of their income
into the consumer policy. Assurances, currently close to
10% of elderly people over the age of 65, in 2015, 2020, 2030 will
accelerate the aging of three key years. And other aging naturally reach their peak, a large number of people to sell real estate prices "blew out" when may fall into. If not ahead of diluted foam, when the national economy, fear of big shrink.
□ on economic growth
GDP growth this year will be higher than 7.5%
Blue Book
In 2012, the annual GDP growth rate is expected to be higher than 7.5%. 2013 years will maintain rapid growth, export growth may rebound.
>> Expert explained
Faster the economy will grow next year
Yuan up to the opinion of the Director, the General
Affairs Department of the National Development and Reform Commission,
the fundamentals of China's economic development in 2013 is more stable,
maintain rapid economic development has a lot of favorable conditions
for the huge potential of urbanization, industrial restructuring, trade
upgrade prospects, the income of urban and rural residents continue to
improve and so will provide a strong impetus to the continued growth of
domestic demand, domestic demand, supporting role in the economic growth
will be further enhanced, and 2013, China's economic growth is expected
to range in a reasonable and rapid growth.
□ about tax cuts
Scale of annual tax cuts should be at least 600 billion
Blue Book
Financial the overcharges income scale may be formed in
2012, and part of the 2012 budget deficit for supporting a structural
tax cuts, at least to reach the scale of annual tax cuts of 600 billion
yuan.
>> Expert explained
Structural considerable room for tax cuts
Director of the Institute of Finance and Trade Economics
of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences GaoPeiYong that, since 2012,
the government around the measures introduced by the structural tax
cuts, there is considerable space.
GaoPeiYong said structural tax cuts, the key to the implementation of the budget deficit constraints. Our
country's budget deficit of 1.07 trillion in 2012, even if only half is
used to support structural tax cuts, tax cuts minimum scale of 535
billion yuan. In addition, financial the overcharges income
scale may be formed in 2012, at least 300 billion yuan, in view of the
surplus revenue in the mobile financial nature, therefore estimates that
at least 600 billion yuan of tax cuts scale is not only necessary, have
the ability to be implemented, even it can go beyond that.
□ about the stock market
The overall stock market into the valuation of the bottom of the
Blue Book
In 2012, China's A-share market as a whole showed trend
of Xianyanghouyi, the market as a whole has been entering the bottom of
the valuation history area.
>> Expert explained
The next year the stock market is expected ascribed to 2500 points
Economic Research Center of Shanghai Academy of Social
Sciences, the number of Zhuping Fang, 2013, in the context of the slow
recovery of the world economy and China's economic slowdown, the
domestic economy will experience long-term industrial structure
adjustment and optimization of the financial system, on behalf of the
economy as a whole The status of the A-share market is difficult now
sustained rally will feature presents fluctuated. However,
the central judgment Shanghai Composite run the the 2000-2500 point,
there are still structural investment opportunities.
Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer (Artesyn Technologies with map)
(Tong cloud) Beijing Time on December 4, Microsoft and
Intel are working together in a confrontation with the Apple iPad Tablet
PC market a total of $ 63.2 billion, but the effort by the two
companies this little effect.Developed to take advantage of the new version of the Windows operating system in the Microsoft and Intel 11 Tablet PC, only five kinds in the United States market for immediate delivery. Microsoft's first computer - Surface Tablet PC - Early demand looks "disappointing", said Craig Berger, an analyst with market research firm FBR Capital Markets (FBR Capital Markets) (Craig Berger). Computer manufacturers in the production of tablet PCs has been hampered because Microsoft which vendors can get implemented restrictions on the prototype, and Intel's power management software delivery delayed.
"Traffic jams" position will enable PC manufacturers more difficult to challenge Apple and Google in the year-end holiday shopping season, these companies have been in trouble due to the sharp decline in demand. PC running Windows-based operating system can be seen everywhere, but AMR chips or Intel's low-power processor-based tablet PC is very scarce.
"Do you even almost can not find a (Tablet PC)." Said Bob O'Donnell, analyst of market research firm IDC in Framingham, Massachusetts (Framingham) (Bob O'Donnell). "So, even if you want to buy, is very difficult to buy."
Few types of Windows Tablet PC, except for Microsoft Surface, only ASUS Vivo Tab RT and Lenovo Group's IdeaPad Yoga run Windows RT system based AMR chip. In addition, Samsung ATIV Smart PC and Acer's Iconia Windows 8 system and Intel chips.
Microsoft retail stores
Only two Tablet PC can buy Microsoft's own retail stores, which is Microsoft Surface and Acer Iconia. In this year's holiday shopping season, Microsoft has only opened more than 60 retail stores. FBR analyst in a research report released last week, Berg pointed Surface Tablet PC sales performance has not been and expected. Microsoft declined to comment on the Surface sales figures, this is not a positive sign, research institutions at Directions on Microsoft analyst Davis Miller (Wes Miller) said.
"When Microsoft digital issue becomes sneaky usually always what it means." Miller said.
In the meeting held in September, Intel said, when Microsoft released the latest version of the Windows system on October 9 PC vendors, including Dell and Hewlett-Packard will sell the latest Intel low-power chip-based devices; while in More than a month later, only four manufacturers to do so. Among them, only two vendors offer their products in the U.S. market, Intel said.
Botched release
The latest version of the Windows operating system listed a few days ago, Microsoft has provided a list of five types of Windows RT equipment list, said it would be available in the new version of Windows is released. In fact, only two of which appear in the market, followed by the Microsoft list. Nomura Holdings (Nomura Holdings) analyst Rick Xue Lun (Rick
Sherlund) pointed out in a note to clients, Microsoft launched Windows 8 is a "botched release of PC manufacturers in the launch of the" slow "reaction on the new Tablet PC and touch screen super.
Windows 8 and Windows RT Tablet PC, and can be converted to a handheld device touch screen notebook for the entire PC industry, is an attempt to seize a beachhead "in the field of mobile services. It is expected that the PC market this year will be the first time in more than a decade decline. Nomura Holdings analyst Eve Jung predicted, Tablet PC sales in the second half of 2013 will go beyond the notebook. Another market research firm NPD DisplaySearch forecasts that the total tablet PC market in 2017 will reach $ 162 billion, equivalent to more than double the size of this year.
Intel and Microsoft shares have fell, due to market worries about the future of the PC industry is enhanced, and the scarcity of Windows Tablet PC market increasingly exacerbated this concern. According to the price-earnings ratio, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, Intel's share price lower than the S & P 500 index 42%, Microsoft 29% lower. Compared with this, the chip maker Qualcomm is higher than the S & P 500 index by 24%, mainly due to the company benefited from the substantial growth of mobile device sales.
Market comparison
In stark contrast to the lack of growth momentum with the PC market, the third quarter, according to data released by market research firm Strategy Analytics, a significant 43% increase in sales of tablet PCs. Before the new launch iPad mini iPad product line, Apple's share of global Tablet PC market in the third quarter was 57%, the share of 41% based on the Google Android operating system, Tablet PC, based on the Microsoft Windows operating system Tablet PC share is only 1.6%.
"Under normal circumstances, Windows will not 'roared out the door', but it should be said that Intel and Microsoft was supposed to have higher expectations." Investment banking analyst at JMP Securities in San Francisco, Alex Wagner (Alex Gauna) said.
Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer (Steve Ballmer), said last week at the general meeting of shareholders held in Bellevue, Washington (Bellevue), Microsoft Windows 8 Tablet PC and touch screen PC "excellent" demand and said that the company is currently working to provide more of such equipment.
Windows 8许可
Microsoft declined to comment, saying only that the Windows division CFO Tami Majorelle (Tami Reller) in a meeting held last week published remarks.
Retail shops have some touch screen devices, and we are committed to launch more. "Majorelle then said. "But in the broadest sense, there are many excellent devices already in the market, some of which have been sold out, some of the upcoming market, and will also introduce more devices in the future."
Lerner said last week, Microsoft has sold more than 40 million Windows 8 license. However, Windows 8 license to obtain a copy of the company through a multi-year licensing contract, and also include the use of the license to the new PC sold through retail channels, this indicator is not clear that how Windows 8 product demand.
More choices
At the same time, Intel pointed out that consumers now have more choices, such as tablet PCs, super this and have the characteristics of both deformable equipment, etc..
"We have a lot of innovative design, can provide full Windows 8 experience, including new tablet computer based on Intel chips are sold, but there are a variety of devices from Samsung, Acer, Fujitsu and LG Tablet PC is about to launched. "Intel spokesman Bill Calder (Bill Calder) said in an e-mailed statement.
In the usual case, the release of the Windows operating system will always be accompanied by the introduction of hundreds of new devices. Windows 8 release, hardware vendors in delivering PC and notebook design this aspect of the performance is better than the delivery of the Tablet PC. Although very few types of tablet PCs available on the market, but Microsoft has confirmed a total of 1500 kinds of equipment are based on the Windows 8 operating system running.
According to a report released last week by market research firm NPD Group show, since after the release of Windows 8, Windows PC (including Tablet PC), retail sales in the U.S. market over the same period last year fell by 21%, this data is statistics derived based on the sample survey of retailers, not including the Microsoft retail sales data, which is not included in the sales of the Microsoft Surface Tablet PC's. The report pointed out that the reason for this decline, largely because the notebook sales year-on-year decline of 24%, has its roots in many consumers choose to buy a Tablet PC; This means that Microsoft must provide extensive product line and Guaranteed availability, it has become more important.
Early signs
Even ago, Microsoft released Windows 8 operating system have been early indications that the Tablet PC products based on such a system would be scarce. Windows RT, Microsoft able to produce the number of computer makers based on the system's equipment is limited, the company has set up a project, the contents of each of the three Windows RT system processor chip manufacturers can select two computer manufacturers to cooperate, is to put a total of six kinds of Windows RT devices including Tablet PC, including Microsoft's own Surface.
Chip manufacturers, only Nvidia with its PC vendor partners launched in October, when the release of the new version of the Windows system the Windows RT Tablet PC. Texas Instruments did not launch the Windows RT tablet PCs based on its chips, because its hardware partners Toshiba component supply problems and canceled the plan on the grounds. At the same time, HP chose not to produce Windows RT Tablet PC.
Microsoft had initially said, the Dell Windows RT Tablet PC will be available in October, but in the end this equipment in December was officially listed, but the user can book. Samsung spokesman, said Cho Sung In RT Tablet PC, the company's Windows "in the coming weeks" released Samsung Originally planned to be launched in October this equipment.
Intel device
More devices based on Intel chips will also be listed. ZTE spokeswoman Jackie Jiang said, the company developed the Tablet PC will be listed in the first quarter of next year.
Windows 8 operating system released a few weeks ago, have one of the sources familiar with the matter has said, Intel has not yet completed necessary to use the Clover Trail Tablet PC chip power management software, this low-power processor is the company The latest chip designed for tablet PCs, designed to compete with the iPad's battery life. This project delivery time delay means that Microsoft failed in the Oct. 26 on-time delivery Clover Trail equipment in the next few weeks.
Intel said that the user can be pre-ordered from Dell, HP, Lenovo and Asus Clover Trail Tablet PC.